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November UK housing snapshot… ‘Armagideon time’?

DAVY VIEW

The rhetoric in British newspapers points towards Armageddon for the housing market, sensationalist in the extreme, yet it is undoubtedly possible to talk oneself into a market collapse. October’s data points seem to reflect the political carnage of the mini-budget and perhaps reflect peak uncertainty. Approvals fell 11% to c.59,000, 12% below the long-run average; transactions, driven by Q3 activity, actually rose 2% to c.108,000. Mortgage rates remain elevated and affordability is being squeezed. Zoopla noted a 40% transaction fall-through rate in October. That hurts estate agents like Purplebricks; Rightmove (RMV) remains somewhat aloof, insulated from volume and price.

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Dec 6 2022, 07:00 GMT

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