Greencore Group

Bakkavor acquisition revisited

  • Sectors : Foods
  • Companies : Greencore Group

Ratings and price correct at time of issue.

  • Greencore Group

    Closing Price: 260p

  • RATING 04/04/24

  • PREVIOUS RATING 13/03/18

    NEUTRAL

DAVY VIEW

With the Bakkavor acquisition set to complete on January 16th, we remain confident that the transaction represents a compelling value creation opportunity. The acquisition materially enhances group scale, strengthens competitive positioning and expands the scope for operational efficiencies across the combined platform. Our analysis indicates that the £80m cost synergy target is conservative and does not fully capture the scale of the opportunity. We now forecast £103m of cost synergies over three years, driving 25% and 30% EPS accretion in FY28 and FY29. Execution risk appears limited, and we see a clear pathway to leverage of below 1.5x by FY28. We reiterate our ‘Outperform’ rating and issue a revised price target of £3.25 (27% upside).

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Jan 15 2026, 07:10 GMT

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