Greencore Group

Lower for longer revenue and margin friction prompts further forecast revisions

  • Sectors : Foods
  • Companies : Greencore Group

Ratings and price correct at time of issue.

  • Greencore Group

    Closing Price: 144p

  • RATING 13/03/18

  • PREVIOUS RATING 20/06/13

    OUTPERFORM

DAVY VIEW

Our forecast revisions reflect a flatter revenue curve and lower anticipated operating margin through FY21. The latter assumes friction from the on-boarding of network costs prior to the ramp-up of customer orders. The key equity debate remains the extent to which the current pandemic alters consumption patterns and the point of purchase – investors are watching closely as to how retailers and suppliers respond. Both entities would benefit from a return to footfall in the higher margin convenience aisle and store perimeter. The allure of a 14x FY21 P/E and 1.3x EV/IC may be outweighed in the short term by inherently subjective debates.

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May 28 2020, 06:45 IST/BST

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